The CIS of Tezanos gives the PP an advantage over the PSOE in its July barometer for the first time. According to the survey, the popular ones would be, if the elections were held today, the winners at the polls with an advantage of almost two points -1.9- over the socialists.
The poll gives 30.1% of voting intentions to Alberto Núñez Feijóo’s PP, compared to 28.2% granted to the Socialist Party. Thus, the sign of the polls carried out so far by the Center changes, which over the last few months has kept Pedro Sánchez’s party in the lead, although by little difference.
Last June, the distance between the two formations was 2.2 points in favor of the PSOE. Now this difference plays on the side of the popular. Vox, for its part, would lose the position of third political force, surpassed by United We Can. To those of Santiago Abascal, the poll gives them an electoral forecast of 12%, compared to the purple ones who would get one of their best data in a long time: 13.4%.
In line with the intention to vote expressed by the citizens, the advantage that Pedro Sánchez has over the leader of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, is also reduced and very considerably. 22.1% continue to prefer the socialist as Prime Minister, but the popular one is on his heels with 20.8%. The second vice president, Yolanda Díaz, is very far from both with 9.1%.
Pedro Sánchez is rated “very poorly” by 25% of those surveyed, more than twice as many as give Feijóo that rating. In fact, 69% say they have little or no trust in Sánchez and 37% of Socialist voters are included among them. The percentage of distrustful regarding Feijóo is 61%.
Among the ministers, those who accumulate the most votes as worst valued include the head of Social Affairs, Ione Belarra; the Minister of Consumption, Alberto Grazón; the Minister of Equality, Irene Montero and the head of the Interior, Fernando Grande-Marlaska.
Regarding the economic situation of the country, 76% describe it as bad or very bad. The negative perception manifests itself across the electoral spectrum regardless of ideology. In this sense, a clear majority of citizens claim to be more concerned about the effects of the crisis on the economy and employment than about its derivatives for health. This is how 53% of those surveyed expressed themselves. This is a logical position if one takes into account that almost 69% believe that the worst of the Covid pandemic is over.
On the contrary, 74% say they are very or quite concerned about the war in Ukraine, and even three out of four fear that Putin may be tempted to invade another country. In line with these questions, an overwhelming majority -74%- considers that it is positive for Spain’s interests to be part of NATO. Even the voters of United We Can and ERC agree on this assessment, but not those of the CUP and the BNG.
This barometer is the first after the elections in Andalusia that resulted in an overwhelming victory for the PP. It is also the first to be carried out after the assault by immigrants on the Melilla fence that resulted in around thirty fatalities and after the NATO Summit in Madrid.
In addition, the CIS has carried out a survey on the general political debate on the State of the Nation. That study gives Pedro Sánchez the victory, although very little. This is the conclusion that emerges from the many questions asked of citizens in relation to the great general policy debate, a parliamentary session that 46% of those surveyed claim to have followed at least in part and in which a large majority – 68%- claim to have seen more criticism and reproaches against each other than solutions for the country.
One in four people -24.1%- of those who claim to have followed the parliamentary session at some point, claim to have “liked” the intervention of the President of the Government more compared to only 10% who preferred that of the PP spokesperson , Cuca Gamarra, but an overwhelming majority -two out of three- believes that Sánchez conveyed little or very little confidence in the economic and political future.
48% consider “good or very good” the different interventions by Sánchez compared to 35% who prefer those of the popular spokesperson. However, it is not any of them who managed to penetrate more with her words. The PNV spokesman, Aitor Esteban; the deputy of the Canarian Coalition, Ana Oramas; the representative of Compromís, Joan Baldoví, and the deputy of Más País, Íñigo Errejón, have a great advantage over them. Esteban’s interventions are rated very well or fairly well by 61% of those interviewed; those of Oramas, by 57%; those of Baldoví, for 60% and those of Errejón, for 62%.
Regarding the president, 34% of those who saw his performance at some point believe that he knew how to convey confidence in the economic future compared to 63% who think otherwise. Likewise, 29% consider that he transferred security about the political future compared to 68% who do not believe so. There are also more who did not see in Sánchez a clear decision to fulfill his electoral promises -62%- nor a true strength of the Government -61%-.
In spite of everything, 62% attribute to him knowing the problems of the country and 53% point out his sensitivity towards the issues that concern the Spanish. Likewise, their ability to communicate with citizens -58%- and their political initiative -61%- stand out. However, the percentages turn against him when they value his realism -59% deny it- or his practicality -52%.
In general terms, 23% think that the President of the Government raised issues and offered arguments with which they identify and agree, compared to 13% who prefer Gamarra’s questions and reasoning
Without a doubt, the absence of the PP leader, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, is a circumstance that decisively marks the outcome of the debate. The head of the first opposition party had to silently witness the intervention of the President of the Government and his allies who did not hesitate in some cases to question him directly, knowing that he would not be able to respond.
Pedro Sánchez had an expedited path to mark the path of the parliamentary duel, neutralizing the list of reproaches from his own partners from the initial speech in which he did not hesitate to snatch his star proposals from the Government’s younger brother, leaving him with no room to distance himself from a strategy against to the first problem of the country -the very high inflation- that until then had been considered very insufficient.
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