The last barometer of the Center for Sociological Research (CIS) gives the Popular Party a 28.7% vote intention, one and a half points more than in the previous month, which brings it closer to the PSOE, which remains at 30.3 %. Vox grows more than two points and achieves 16.6% in voting intention, while United We Can sink for the first time below 10% (9.6%, one point less than in April).
The popular ones reach with this figure their highest level in a CIS so far in the legislature and are just 1.6 points behind the PSOE, the smallest distance recorded by the body since the coalition government began to roll. In direct vote intention, both formations are already tied at 20.8%.
The right-wing bloc, according to these data, distances itself from the sum of forces on the left. The PP and Vox bring together 45.3% of the voting intention; the PSOE and United We Can, for their part, group 39.9% of the support. The difference has widened notably since the poll in April, in which the right had 41.6% of the vote and the left, 41%.
Thus, since the arrival of Alberto Núñez Feijóo to the presidency of the main opposition party, the PP has grown five points and cut a notable distance over the PSOE, which continues to be the most voted party. Compared to the general elections of November 2019, the PP has grown -always according to CIS data- almost eight points (7.9), while the PSOE has barely increased by 2.3.
For its part, Vox also achieved its best record in the CIS in the May barometer and those of Santiago Abascal are already 1.4 points above what was achieved on 10-N. On the contrary, Ciudadanos continues to fall and this time loses two tenths, which leaves the orange formation with 1.8% of voting intentions, five points below what was obtained in 2019.
The survey, carried out between May 3 and 12, is the first of the public institute that collects the impact of the political storm derived from the cases of espionage through the Pegasus software both to leaders of the Catalan and Basque independence movement and to various ministers and the President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez. On the contrary, it does not echo the controversy in which the PP has been involved after the statements of its general coordinator, Elías Bendodo, in which he considered that Spain is a “plurinational” State, some words that were nuanced subsequently.
The Pegasus case has pushed the Executive’s relationship with its investiture partners to the limit, which, like the Generalitat, brand the dismissal of the director of the CNI, Paz Esteban, as insufficient. The distrust of parties such as ERC or EH Bildu de Sánchez has increased and their support until the end of the legislature is not guaranteed, although the Government is convinced that there will be no general elections before the end of 2023.
It is also the first barometer to be published while Andalusia prepares the electoral terrain. On April 25, Juanma Moreno executed the electoral advance of an autonomy that will go to the polls on June 19 and in which the PP seeks to strengthen itself and face the next national elections with power. However, everything seems to indicate that it will need Vox to revalidate the Junta through a coalition government similar to the one recently launched in Castilla y León, according to the surveys published to date.
In the previous poll on voting intentions at the national level, corresponding to the month of April, the body led by José Félix Tezanos catapulted the PP and gave it a strong rise, of 3.4 points, which placed the formation in 27, 2% vote estimate after the arrival of Alberto Núñez Feijóo to the leadership of the opposition. A boost that came at the expense of the PSOE, which dropped 1.2 points and remained the force with the most votes, with 30.3%.
Feijóo not only approaches Sánchez in voting intention, but also achieves a better rating as a leader, according to figures published this Thursday by the CIS. The president of the PP receives an average score of 4.86 among those surveyed, six tenths above the president of the Government (4.28).
However, the only one who passes the test is Yolanda Díaz. The second vice president, who confirmed this Thursday that in a month she will start her listening phase with citizens under the Sumar brand, receives an average grade of 5.05 and is positioned as the best valued political leader among Spaniards at this time.
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